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Publications

The Metis Institute publications are freely available for download under a Creative Commons License.

The most recent Metis publication is Study No. 49: Worst Cases II (June 2026)

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National Interdisciplinary Climate Risk Assessment

Worst Cases II

Geoengineering governance

Fight tonight

The future of global democratic alliances

Deterrence

Islamist terrorism

Humanoid robots

Scenarios of Russian influence until 2030

Worst Cases

Artificial intelligence in the armed forces

Total Defence

Will there finally be “peace” in the South Caucasus?

New Space

Scenarios for the effects of climate change on security policy in Germany

Trends and developments in hybrid threats

Stability in Africa

“The basis for resilience is awareness of the threat we face.”

Scenarios: Effects of climate change on Bundeswehr missions

Scenarios: Reassuring Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine

Zeitenwende: The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its implications

Peace in sight? Armenia, Azerbaijan and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

The Eastern Mediterranean security complex – escalation or improvement?

Uncrewed systems: armaments, control and arms control

New challenges for UN peacekeeping

New hybrid threats

Quantum technologies: Implications for security and defence

“What degree of human involvement should there be in the use of force?”

The future of NATO’s northern flank

Armed forces and the European Green Deal

Relief and re-engagement – German initiatives for stronger transatlantic cooperation

Resilience

Conventional arms control and emerging technologies

Biden / Harris 2020: A look ahead at possible implications for security policy

Nuclear arms control in crisis

“Women make unique contributions all the time.”

Maritime strategic thinking: The GIUK example

Deterrence in the 21st century

Central Asia and the Caucasus

Science fiction and foresight

Space security

Global health

Inhospitable – A Short Story

“Every tenth of a degree counts”

Africa – a continent on the rise?

Increasing competition for resources – what are the implications for security?

Great powers and digitisation: What are the implications for world order?

The conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran: How to respond to developments and regional implications?

Food and water scarcity – A key factor in future conflicts?

Fragile, failed and quasi states – who are we dealing with?

Delegitimising the IS narrative: What are the strategies of our partners?

What future for Turkey as a member of NATO?

The impact of climate change on the Arctic

The security-policy effects of digitisation: Future forms of conflict and conflict management

Worst Cases II

Fight tonight

The future of global democratic alliances

Deterrence

Humanoid robots

Scenarios of Russian influence until 2030

Worst Cases

Artificial intelligence in the armed forces

Total Defence

New Space

Scenarios for the effects of climate change on security policy in Germany

Trends and developments in hybrid threats

“The basis for resilience is awareness of the threat we face.”

Scenarios: Effects of climate change on Bundeswehr missions

Scenarios: Reassuring Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine

Zeitenwende: The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its implications

Peace in sight? Armenia, Azerbaijan and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

The Eastern Mediterranean security complex – escalation or improvement?

Uncrewed systems: armaments, control and arms control

New challenges for UN peacekeeping

New hybrid threats

“What degree of human involvement should there be in the use of force?”

The future of NATO’s northern flank

Armed forces and the European Green Deal

Relief and re-engagement – German initiatives for stronger transatlantic cooperation

Resilience

Conventional arms control and emerging technologies

Biden / Harris 2020: A look ahead at possible implications for security policy

Nuclear arms control in crisis

Maritime strategic thinking: The GIUK example

Deterrence in the 21st century

Science fiction and foresight

Space security

Great powers and digitisation: What are the implications for world order?

What future for Turkey as a member of NATO?

The security-policy effects of digitisation: Future forms of conflict and conflict management

National Interdisciplinary Climate Risk Assessment

Worst Cases II

Fight tonight

The future of global democratic alliances

Deterrence

Islamist terrorism

Scenarios of Russian influence until 2030

Worst Cases

Artificial intelligence in the armed forces

Total Defence

Will there finally be “peace” in the South Caucasus?

New Space

Trends and developments in hybrid threats

Scenarios: Reassuring Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine

Zeitenwende: The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its implications

Peace in sight? Armenia, Azerbaijan and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

The Eastern Mediterranean security complex – escalation or improvement?

Uncrewed systems: armaments, control and arms control

New challenges for UN peacekeeping

New hybrid threats

Quantum technologies: Implications for security and defence

“What degree of human involvement should there be in the use of force?”

The future of NATO’s northern flank

Armed forces and the European Green Deal

Relief and re-engagement – German initiatives for stronger transatlantic cooperation

Conventional arms control and emerging technologies

Biden / Harris 2020: A look ahead at possible implications for security policy

Nuclear arms control in crisis

Maritime strategic thinking: The GIUK example

Deterrence in the 21st century

Central Asia and the Caucasus

Africa – a continent on the rise?

Increasing competition for resources – what are the implications for security?

Great powers and digitisation: What are the implications for world order?

The conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran: How to respond to developments and regional implications?

What future for Turkey as a member of NATO?

The impact of climate change on the Arctic

National Interdisciplinary Climate Risk Assessment

Geoengineering governance

Scenarios for the effects of climate change on security policy in Germany

Stability in Africa

Scenarios: Effects of climate change on Bundeswehr missions

Scenarios: Reassuring Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine

The Eastern Mediterranean security complex – escalation or improvement?

New challenges for UN peacekeeping

Resilience

“Women make unique contributions all the time.”

Space security

Global health

“Every tenth of a degree counts”

Increasing competition for resources – what are the implications for security?

Food and water scarcity – A key factor in future conflicts?

Fragile, failed and quasi states – who are we dealing with?

Delegitimising the IS narrative: What are the strategies of our partners?

Worst Cases II

The future of global democratic alliances

Islamist terrorism

Scenarios of Russian influence until 2030

Worst Cases

Will there finally be “peace” in the South Caucasus?

Scenarios for the effects of climate change on security policy in Germany

Stability in Africa

Scenarios: Effects of climate change on Bundeswehr missions

Scenarios: Reassuring Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine

Zeitenwende: The Russian invasion of Ukraine and its implications

Peace in sight? Armenia, Azerbaijan and the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict

The Eastern Mediterranean security complex – escalation or improvement?

New challenges for UN peacekeeping

The future of NATO’s northern flank

“Women make unique contributions all the time.”

Central Asia and the Caucasus

Africa – a continent on the rise?

Increasing competition for resources – what are the implications for security?

The conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran: How to respond to developments and regional implications?

Food and water scarcity – A key factor in future conflicts?

Fragile, failed and quasi states – who are we dealing with?

What future for Turkey as a member of NATO?

The impact of climate change on the Arctic

National Interdisciplinary Climate Risk Assessment

Geoengineering governance

Scenarios for the effects of climate change on security policy in Germany

“The basis for resilience is awareness of the threat we face.”

Scenarios: Effects of climate change on Bundeswehr missions

Inhospitable – A Short Story

“Every tenth of a degree counts”

Food and water scarcity – A key factor in future conflicts?

The impact of climate change on the Arctic

Geoengineering governance

Deterrence

Humanoid robots

Artificial intelligence in the armed forces

New Space

Trends and developments in hybrid threats

Uncrewed systems: armaments, control and arms control

Quantum technologies: Implications for security and defence

“What degree of human involvement should there be in the use of force?”

Conventional arms control and emerging technologies

Deterrence in the 21st century

Science fiction and foresight

Space security

Great powers and digitisation: What are the implications for world order?

The security-policy effects of digitisation: Future forms of conflict and conflict management