Scenarios of Russian influence until 2030
Russia's hybrid influence on the EU / NATO eastern flank
Russia is increasingly using teleological hybrid warfare to achieve strategic and geopolitical goals. Each hybrid measure serves one of two underlying purposes: paralysing the adversary to gain a physical advantage, or completely taking over reality to win psychologically and cognitively. The study proposes a new classification of hybrid warfare in order to analytically clarify the concept of hybrid warfare. It also outlines fictional and partly dystopian scenarios of future Russian influence to destabilise Europe’s eastern flank in order to demonstrate the different effects and objectives of hybrid warfare.